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Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:23 pm
by aTm
This page is kinda interesting. Win probability tracker for all games.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... id=navlink

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:05 pm
by aTm
Mmmmm. I didnt really like either Duke or Baylor but figured one would make the sweet 16 out of these 4, and then I chose the other to get beat in the first round. It appears maybe I should've gone Baylor.

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:10 pm
by hedge
Somebody posted "L'il Ted Cruz getting into the flow of the game"

Image

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:12 pm
by hedge
I'm sure the PNC arena is heavily rooting for UNC-W. Certainly there are some actual UNC-W fans in attendance, and every Carolina fan there is of course rooting for them. Reminds me of when Davidson upset Georgetown in 2008, every Carolina fan was pulling for Davidson and the arena was about 75% Carolina fans (plus more Davidson fans). Steph Curry put on a show that day...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:33 pm
by hedge
So UNC-W hits more shots and almost three times as many 3's as Dook and loses by 5. Maybe the fact that Dook had 20 more free throws and made 14 more had something to do with it...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:35 pm
by aTm
What was each teams PSF?

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:59 pm
by hedge
I had it wrong. Evidently Dook shot 24 more free throws than UNC-W and made 17 more. And still only won by 5. They really are not very good this year. They'll probably catch fire for a game or two and hit some ridiculous amount of 3's, but they won't be able to ride that for a long run, even in their weak ass bracket. Unless this absurd free throw disparity continues apace, which I doubt they'll be able to get away with against name teams with more viewers. Damn I wish they had lost. I also wish goldie had been doing the play by play for that game, disputing every foul...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 3:00 pm
by hedge
Gayson Allen shot two fewer free throws than the entire UNC-W team, and made more free throws than the entire UNC-W team. Jesus...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 3:34 pm
by sardis
When do we have to get our brackets in by?

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 3:56 pm
by eCat
its takes a lot for me to want physical harm to happen to a kid on a team

Allen passes that threshold

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 4:46 pm
by Saint
Did Gaytor fill out a bracket?

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 4:53 pm
by hedge
Damn, I had Baylor making it to the regional final. On the bright side, it looks like almost everyone else had them advancing to the Sweet16 as well, so I won't lose too much ground on that one...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 4:58 pm
by hedge
The probability tracker has Baylor at 5% now...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 4:59 pm
by aTm
Looks like the Baylor-Duke gambit in my bracket is gonna pay off...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:01 pm
by aTm
There is a 95% chance Baylor goes on a run now that I made that post.

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:07 pm
by hedge
Back up to 9% now!

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:09 pm
by hedge
aTm wrote:Looks like the Baylor-Duke gambit in my bracket is gonna pay off...
Your intrastate hatred served you well here...

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:17 pm
by hedge
Baylor down to 4% now

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:18 pm
by hedge
Baylro at 10% now!!

Re: Ostensibly Hoops

Posted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:20 pm
by hedge
Baylor at 22%!!!!!!!!!!!!