Not That Prediction

10ac · Post by **10ac** » Tue Sep 04, 2012 9:53 pm

Agreed. Even he can't drag those losers with him.

Owlman · Post by **Owlman** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:40 am

President: Obama 303 Romney 235

Senate: Dems 51 Reps 47 Ind 2

Bklyn · Post by **Bklyn** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:45 am

That's about right on the POTUS. I haven't followed the Senate races close enough.

hedge · Post by **hedge** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:51 am

Man, this one is hard to call. On the one hand, you keep hearing that it's a tight race and that Romney has a good shot. I can't help but think there's some natural backlash by repubs against Obama just for winning so big in 2008. OTOH, this isn't a prediction, but I will not be shocked if Obama ends up winning a few states that are supposedly leaning Romney. Virginia, obviously, and CO, but I'm not going to be shocked if Obama wins NC and Florida as well. Even without those, I think he'll end up winning the election, but I think it might be by a bigger electoral margin than some Romney folks are thinking...

sardis · Post by **sardis** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:06 am

Romney definitely wins NC. Virginia is a toss-up. Won't matter because Ohio will got to Oprama.

Oprama wins electoral vote and wins popular vote by 1-2%

hedge · Post by **hedge** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:12 am

We shall see. Obviously Obama's win in NC last time was razor thin, so I won't be surprised at all to see Romney win NC (the polling certainly bears that out). But I'm not going to be shocked if Obama pulls it off again. Either way, it's going to be very close...

sardis · Post by **sardis** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:21 am

It's not indictive of all states, but NC has had Republican momentum for two years now.

http://www.wfae.org/post/republicans-ma ... ng-turnout

Owlman · Post by **Owlman** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:38 am

I have Romney winning Florida and North Carolina but losing New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada.

I forgot to add: Obama 50.5% Romney 48%, Other 1.5%

hedge · Post by **hedge** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 10:08 am

What about Colorado?

SnoodGator · Post by **SnoodGator** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 10:27 am

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.co ... r-odds/?hp

Owlman · Post by **Owlman** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 11:02 am

hedge wrote:What about Colorado?

also Obama

Jungle Rat · Post by **Jungle Rat** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 12:49 pm

Walked right in, grabbed my papers & voted. In & out in 10 or so.

crashcourse · Post by **crashcourse** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:14 pm

I don't think he clinches it until tommorrow

if ohio is < 100K MOV those absentee ballots that are mailed in will have to be counted

Pennssylvania also could be to close to call for a while

I think romney wins virginia --obama pissed off a lot of southern virginia when he made his battle ship comments

Saint · Post by **Saint** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:17 pm

it seems NC is more Romney than Obama but the wild card here and in a lot of states is how many Latino and black voters hit the polls. that's been the subtext, IMO, of this election anyway. as we become a browner nation, the voting power of minorities is become more evident and is the root, acknowledged or not, for many whites' perspectives for this election and down the road.

Bklyn · Post by **Bklyn** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:12 pm

I just love how the media keeps saying Obama has a white male problem, while it appears to me that the GOP has an "everything but white male" problem (although married white women tag along with that group, as well). The optics are skewed, to the point where looking at it as the former, as opposed to the latter, will lead to a weaker GOP.

The GOP looks to combat it with legislative hurdles to voting thereby suppressing the electorate, instead of trying to come up with viable changes to their platform that would address the concerns of those constituents.

hedge · Post by **hedge** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:34 pm

"obama pissed off a lot of southern virginia when he made his battle ship comments"

What comment? That we now have things called aircraft carriers?

"(although married white women tag along with that group, as well)"

I'm sure my mammy is voting for Obama. Not sure about pappy. Mammy might not fit your description as a tag along wife, however. She's kinda fiesty. I wouldn't even put it past her to vote opposite of my dad, just out of spite...

Saint · Post by **Saint** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:42 pm

we have a tag-along wife running for state assembly here. not bad looking in a Catherine Keener sort of way but she apparently is as dumb as a stump, is barely able to deliver a platform and is opposing a pompous, fat, black lawyer with multiple DWIs.

plus, the aforementioned state senate race between the guy in jail for trafficking heroin and the incumbent, a former schoolmate of me and Hedge (whose brother was arrested for cocaine possession 20-some years ago and gave his now-senator brother's name and that still is on the books in the county of origin — at least it was in the last election)

sardis · Post by **sardis** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 3:06 pm

If you are talking about Tamara, she kinda looks like a recovering burn victim to me.

Now, the democrat running for NC Treasurer has that Peggy Olson from Mad Men vibe about her. Oh yeah.

Saint · Post by **Saint** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 3:24 pm

Susan Martin

Bklyn · Post by **Bklyn** » Tue Nov 06, 2012 4:45 pm

I'd hit that.

She looks like the type of woman I would run into back in my single days who came to NY with friends and would go buck wild. Good times.

The Goat Pen

Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction

Re: Not That Prediction